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时隔不到半年,日本再发“特大地震”警告:概率升至80%_我的网站

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A |     Emily in Paris is set to return with its much-anticipated fifth season on December 18, and the celebratory mood was on full display at a stylish Paris premiere. The first two episodes were screened at the iconic Grand Rex theatre, with series creator Darren Star and the cast in attendance. The event followed closely after Netflix co-CEO Ted Sarandos was honoured with France’s prestigious Legion of Honour by President Emmanuel Macron.          Lily Collins brought humour and charm to the evening while addressing the playful political chatter sparked by the new season. With Emily’s journey briefly shifting to Rome before circling back to Paris, the move prompted light-hearted remarks from French President Emmanuel Macron and Rome mayor Roberto Gualtieri. Reacting to the unexpected attention, Collins quipped, “I never expected in a million years we would be a part of a European political love triangle.”          Darren Star added fuel to the excitement by teasing future surprises, especially after French First Lady Brigitte Macron’s cameo in Season 4. Hinting at what could come next, Star said, “I asked him, so let’s see what happens!” leaving fans speculating about possible high-profile appearances.                                                                      View this post on Instagram          A post shared by Lily Collins (@lilyjcollins)               Reflecting on the show’s journey, Ted Sarandos spoke about Emily in Paris becoming a global comfort watch after debuting in 2020 during the pandemic. “We were stuck at home, looking for connection and escapism, and Emily in Paris was just the ticket,” he said. He credited the series with reigniting audiences’ love for Paris and revealed that his wife Nicole is “one of Emily’s biggest fans.”          Collins also spoke about Emily Cooper’s growth over the seasons. She noted that Emily has evolved from a wide-eyed newcomer to someone more confident and open to vulnerability. “Letting go of perfection this season was really special,” Collins said, describing Season 5 as one that embraces emotional depth alongside glamour.                                                                 View this post on Instagram          A post shared by Lily Collins (@lilyjcollins)               Season 5 sees Collins return alongside Philippine Leroy-Beaulieu, Ashley Park, Lucas Bravo, Lucien Laviscount, Samuel Arnold, William Abadie and Bruno Gouery, with new cast members including Bryan Greenberg, Michèle Laroque and Minnie Driver. While Rome sets the stage for the opening episodes, Paris remains the heart of the series.     Also Read: Emily in Paris S4 Part 2 trailer: Lily Collins’ unexpected Roman Holiday。

B |     据日本共同社16日报道,日本政府地震调查小组15日警告称,未来三十年内南海海槽发生“特大地震”(即8级及以上)的概率已经提升至80%。其中,北海道的根室市沿岸及宫城县沿岸发生“特大地震”的可能性更高。

C | 这是日本时隔不到半年再发“特大地震”警告。去年8月,日本宫崎县附近海域发生7.1级地震后,由于担心影响附近的南海海槽,日本气象厅发布了有史以来的首个巨大地震警报。专家团队预计,若日本南海海槽再发生大地震,导致的伤亡人数最高将超过30万。(报道链接:日本首次发布“巨大地震警报”,首相取消外访行程)去年8月,宫崎县附近海域发生7.1级地震后,一处坍塌的房屋 日本地震专家每年一月都会重新计算发生特大地震的概率,自2018年至今,这一概率一直维持在70%-80%之间。据《朝日新闻》报道,南海海槽发生“特大地震”的概率以每年不到1%的幅度逐年递增,今年调查小组推算出的概率为75%-82%,四舍五入后得出了“80%”这个数字。日本政府地震调查小组组长平田直志(音译)在新闻发布会上解释称,这一概率意味着该国任何时候发生地震都不足为奇,“我们希望民众能时刻准备好。”平田直志称,自2024年1月日本能登半岛发生6.0级地震以来,该国已经发生过多次震级在6级以上的地震。“大家需要提高警惕,地壳活动可能将持续活跃一段时间。

D | ”来自日本政府地震调查研究推进本部的数据显示,过去1400年间,南海海槽每隔100到200年就会发生一次“特大地震”,最近一次发生在1946年,当时整个日本都有震感。不过,也有地震学家对“日本政府地震调查小组定期发布地震概率预测”的做法表示反对。“地震不会按照周期性发生,地震的发生是不可预测的。”东京大学名誉教授、地震学家罗伯特·盖勒批评称,这种根据过往地震频率预测未来地震的做法毫无意义。红星新闻记者 黎谨睿编辑 杨珒 责编 魏孔明(下载红星新闻,报料有奖!)。

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Published on:03:04:24