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US Publisher: What if COVID Outbreak is Part of the Pentagon's Biowarfare Plan?_我的网站

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一 | 央视网消息：4月22日，伦敦黄金的最新价格在每盎司2370美元左右，上海黄金交易所实物黄金报价在560元人民币上下，比上个交易日下跌1%左右。但是尽管如此，黄金价格仍然在高位运行。2024年3月以来，黄金价格不但屡创新高，而且打破了以往不少的“惯例”。 Pyongyang's assumptions with regard to Washington's potential role in the COVID-19 pandemic apparently stem from a bombshell report by professors Jeffrey D Sachs and Neil L Harrison, published in May 2022 by peer-reviewed multidisciplinary scientific journal, The Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS).,"Prof Jeffrey Sachs of Columbia University had spent two years as chairman of the Lancet Commission on COVID and recently published a major paper in the prestigious PNAS journal arguing that the virus was very likely artificial, also calling for an independent inquiry into its possible American origins, but virtually all western media outlets ignored his dramatic reversal," says Ron Unz, an American technology entrepreneur, political activist, writer and the publisher of the Unz Review.,On 27 May, Sachs and Harrison released an op-ed for Project Syndicate, arguing that US authorities suppressed inquiries into the role US scientific research institutions may have played in creating the conditions of the COVID pandemic. "Yet if the coronavirus did indeed come from a lab, US culpability is almost certain," the professors insisted, calling for independent probes "not only into the outbreak in Wuhan, China, but also into the relevant US scientific research, international outreach, and technology licensing in the lead-up to the pandemic.",According to Sachs and Harrison, "the full story of the outbreak could involve America’s role in researching coronaviruses and in sharing its biotechnology with others around the world." The professors pointed out that "US scientists who work with SARS-like coronaviruses regularly create and test dangerous novel variants" to develop drugs and vaccines against them. These experiments, also known as "gain-of-function" research, have been conducted for decades prompting concerns that one day they could lead to an accidental outbreak or end up in the wrong hands, the scholars highlighted.,"In June, [Sachs] went even further in his public statements at a Spanish think-tank, describing the COVID virus as probably having an American origin," notes Unz. "In my opinion, Prof Sachs is merely stating what many senior figures in the West quietly believe or suspect but have been unwilling to mention publicly.",Situation in UkraineUS Has Helped Support 46 Biological Labs in Ukraine Over Last Two Decades, Pentagon Says9 June, 17:19 GMT,An Accidental Leak or a Warfare Tool?,America's experiments with viruses and dangerous pathogens have triggered concerns in Russia and China over the past few years. On 13 May 2020, Russia's Minister of Foreign Affairs Sergei Lavrov drew attention to a "dense network" of US biolabs located "along the perimeter of the Russian Federation and near Chinese borders".,Earlier this year, Beijing urged Washington to disclose the information about the activities of at least 360 biolabs in the world, presumably run by the US.,Since 2001, Russia, China, and many other countries have advocated the creation of a verification mechanism within the framework of the Convention on the Prohibition of the Development, Production and Stockpiling of Bacteriological (Biological) and Toxin Weapons and on their Destruction to ensure biosafety across the world. Nonetheless, the US was "about the only country" which has categorically opposed this proposal for roughly 20 years, Lavrov revealed in 2020.,"Over the past 70 years, America has invested an estimated $100Bln in developing the world's largest and longest-standing biowarfare program," says Unz.,Situation in UkraineWhat's Behind Washington's Denial of Biowarfare Weapons Programme in Ukraine?12 March, 15:50 GMT,The American publisher suggested that the US could be responsible for the COVID outbreak long before Sachs and Harrison did. Furthermore, Unz does not rule out that the pathogen was used as a deliberate biowarfare tool against China and, possibly, Iran by "elements of [the US] national security establishment, though without the direct knowledge or authorization of President Donald Trump.",There are a lot of unknowns about the mysterious pandemic which is believed to have come from the Huanan Seafood Market in Wuhan, China. For instance, neither a COVID-19 "patient zero" nor a "guilty bat" have been found, which means that SARS-CoV-2 may actually have been circulating among humans some time before the late 2019 Wuhan outbreak, according to CBS News.,In April 2020, ABC News broke the story that a special medical intelligence unit within the US Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) in the second week of November 2019 produced a classified report warning about an "out-of-control disease epidemic" in the Wuhan area of China. It urged the US to protect its forces in Asia. Although a Pentagon spokesman officially denied the existence of that November report, Israel's broadcaster Channel 12 said the US had also shared the document in question with NATO and Israeli Defense Force (IDF).,It appears suspicious, according to Unz, that the DIA rushed to dub the mysterious disease an "epidemic" at a time when just a couple of dozen individuals were infected in Wuhan.,"It therefore appears that elements of the Defense Intelligence Agency were aware of the deadly viral outbreak in Wuhan more than a month before any officials in the Chinese government itself," Unz points out. "Furthermore, the New York Times and CNN have also promoted a major new research study just published in Science that found the first Wuhan infection probably occurred on 18 November 2019. This was after the secret DIA report had already been produced, but the American media has completely ignored the implications of this striking discrepancy.",Yet another strange coincidence was Donald Trump's appointment of Robert Kadlec as the top official for dealing with biological threats in 2017, the American writer says. Since the Nineties, Kadlec had been one of America’s leading biowarfare advocates.,"From January to August 2019, Kadlec’s department ran the 'Crimson Contagion' simulation exercise, involving the hypothetical outbreak of a dangerous respiratory viral disease in China, which eventually spreads to the United States, with the participants focusing on the necessary measures to control it in this country," Unz says, adding that before that China had suffered two inexplicable viral epidemics which hit its poultry and pork industry in 2018 and 2019, respectively.,Situation in UkraineUkraine Labs: Bioweapons Can be Used as Tool in US Low-Level War Against Russia, ex-DoD Analyst Says15 April, 12:51 GMT,History of Pentagon's Bio-warfare,Although the Pentagon's alleged responsibility for the COVID outbreak has yet to be examined and backed by solid evidence, one must admit that Washington is no novice where biological warfare is concerened.,The US was accused of using germ weapons against Korea during the Korean War (1950-1953) and China based on the testimony of at least 38 US military pilots.,In August 2021, Xinhua quoted witnesses and historians describing how the Pentagon used germ bombs in civilian areas in China and Korea to spread dozens of species of poisonous insects and germs.,And Havana leveled accusations against the Pentagon over the dengue epidemic in Cuba that contaminated 345,000 people in 1981 and an artificial outbreak of African swine fever (ASF) that led to the slaughter of 500,000 animals and inflicted considerable economic damage on the island nation in 1971. The US Department of Defense denied the allegations.,"Over the years highly regarded and fully mainstream American journalists and academics have published books and articles documenting America's extensive use of biowarfare during the Korean War and later as anti-food supply attacks against Cuba, East Germany, and other countries," notes Unz.,Recently, Russia's Ministry of Defense has revisited cases pertaining to the US history of biological warfare, while examining a trove of highly sensitive documents shedding light on the Pentagon's experiments with highly contagious pathogens in Ukraine. According to the MoD, the Pentagon's Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA) division ran a network of biological labs in Ukraine with the aim of inflicting damage on Russia's people and economy.,"I'm certainly aware of the Russian Ministry of Defense public claims regarding the Pentagon's involvement in Ukrainian biolabs, and the preparation of possible biowarfare attacks against Russia," says Unz. "I don't have any special knowledge of this issue, but the apparent public admission by [Undersecretary of State] Victoria Nuland at a US Senate hearing convinced me that there was a high likelihood that these Russian accusations were correct.",Unz argues that "American military plans for biowarfare attacks against Russia dramatically increase the likelihood that similar measures had been prepared against China and Iran, and perhaps actually carried out by rogue elements of the Trump Administration." Although US secretive biological programs and the Pentagon's overseas biowarfare labs have been triggering further suspicions, the topic still remains largely neglected and suppressed by western mainstream media.。黄金到底怎么了？　　这个商品居然打破惯例，与美元指数、美债指数同步上涨。2024年3月1日—4月19日，短短35个交易日，这个商品累计涨幅超过14%，最新价格比2月低点上涨约20%，它带动白银等众多资源性大宗商品同步上涨。市场上，有的人忙着追高，有的人忙着变现。这，说的就是当下让人心动又心惊的黄金。　　一般说到黄金价格，通常指的是伦敦现货黄金价格。

二 | 银河期货首席宏观分析师王鹏刚刚完成一份分析报告，报告显示，1968年至今56年来，伦敦黄金价格累计上涨66倍。　　从这张图上可以看出，黄金价格出现过两次为期约10年的明显上涨，分别是从1968年到1980年、2001年到2012年。而两次上涨中间，则是长达约20年的震荡期。在第二次上涨后，从2013年到2020年，金价大幅下跌后震荡回升。2021年至今，尤其是2024年开始，金价开始屡创新高。王鹏认为，在第二轮上涨周期中，2008年是个关键年份，当时出现的黄金价格上涨和2024年的情况具有类似的特征。　　本轮黄金上涨与往次明显不同　　世界黄金协会中国区首席执行官王立新表示，在他们新鲜出炉的3月份黄金市场评论里，也不乏“意外”“前所未有”这样的字眼。一般来讲，美元走强金价就相对走弱，是一个负相关关系。

三 | 但是，这次出现了同涨的关系，美元并没有走弱，金价也走强，这个现象比较特别。　　本轮黄金价格上涨谁是“推手”？　　到底是什么因素导致了本轮黄金价格的快速上涨？　　背后因素一：美元降息预期　　许之彦管理着国内最大，也是亚洲最大的黄金ETF产品。所谓黄金ETF，其实是投资实物黄金的一种替代形式，背后对应的是上海黄金交易所的实物黄金。现在，他们管理的实物黄金规模已经有40吨左右。在他看来，本轮黄金价格与美元美债同步上涨的背后原因，排在首位的要数美元降息预期因素。　　华安基金黄金ETF基金经理许之彦表示，美联储降息预期虽然有所反复，但是中长期来看，特别是中期来看，降息几乎是确定性的。因为它的经济增长相对偏弱，高的利率难以维系。　　王立新表示，大家预计的是美联储要降息，一般来讲，降息是支撑金价的一个很强因素。　　美元利息降还是不降，这是个问题，毕竟美国经济数据一再频繁变化，美联储公布降息的时间也一再推迟。但是这种预期的存在，依旧影响着金价的走势。　　背后因素二：美国货币超发　　而美元对黄金的影响不仅是降息，还有货币超发。　　南华期货首席经济学家朱斌介绍，全球货币超发，特别是2008年美国为了救经济搞了一轮货币超发，2020年又搞了一轮货币超发，这导致了黄金价格上涨。　　而美元货币超发和黄金价格上涨有什么关系？　　朱斌介绍，由于美元大量发行，导致美元的实际购买力在下降。

四 | 现在，全球除了美国之外，包括欧洲央行、日本央行都在超发货币，全球性的信用货币的购买力下降，这凸显出黄金作为一种核心资产的价值，所以黄金价格在不断上涨。　　黄金价格上涨背后因素复杂　　黄金价格上涨，不仅与美国货币超发有关，还有很多综合因素共同促成了黄金价格的上涨。　　综合因素一：黄金具有天然的稀缺性　　在市场看来，黄金本身作为一种稀缺性资源，具有金融属性和商品属性。

五 | 　　华安基金黄金ETF基金经理许之彦介绍，过去10年，从地下新挖出来的黄金大概3500吨到3600吨，二手金大概800吨到900吨，二者加起来不到5000吨，新探明储量在过去的40年都没有明显大幅增加。按照官方数据来看，15年到20年，可能黄金就开采差不多了。所以，黄金的供需紧平衡，以及它的稀缺性，这一点非常确认。　　综合因素二：不确定性因素增多避险情绪上升　　仅是稀缺性，当然不足以解释黄金价格的上涨。业内人士普遍认为，全球出现的一些不确定性，也直接影响了市场对于黄金的需求。

六 | 　　业内人士说，全球地缘政治冲突，一些重大区域性事件仍然没有减弱或者降低，反而是烈度增加，这些原因也是支撑黄金价格上涨的一个重大因素。

七 | 　　不仅如此，世界黄金协会在分析时发现，黄金零售投资的需求旺盛。　　王立新表示，这表明投资者对于市场上出现强烈不确定性的一种担心。还有一种可能是，社会处于一种大变革的过程之中，这种不确定性也引来消费者或者投资者把黄金作为传统的抗风险的作用，全球都一样。　　综合因素三：各国央行持续购金　　全球都一样，但是购金的主力向来不是零售，而是各国央行。数据显示，本轮黄金上涨，离不开各国央行购金的推动。

八 | 　　银河期货首席宏观分析师王鹏表示，2011年开始，各国的央行就开始逐步购买黄金。2022年全球央行购金的规模达到1081吨，2023年购金的规模是1037吨，这种购金对于黄金实体实物的需求是支撑黄金价格上涨的重要原因。　　正是在一系列因素的综合作用下，黄金成为了全球投资者眼中的“金娃娃”。　　专家称黄金并非短期投资品种　　黄金价格涨得让人意外，业内人士普遍建议——稳住，黄金并非短期投资品种。　　南华期货首席经济学家朱斌介绍，黄金不是一个短期操作的品种，它更适合长期持有。　　华安基金黄金ETF基金经理许之彦表示，短期而言，投资者不要盲目地去追高。市场毕竟是市场，既然有上涨，就有调整，黄金本身也不是一直上涨的品种。　　银河期货首席宏观分析师王鹏表示，黄金价格已处历史高位，不要盲目地去追高黄金价格。现在影响黄金价格的因素越来越复杂，已经不能简单从美元的走势、美债的走势等其他一些简单因素去推断黄金涨跌。