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近期一项民意调查揭示了美国民众对前总统特朗普在纽约封口费案中所面临重罪指控的普遍态度，结果显示近三分之二的受访者认为特朗普将难逃法律制裁。    A Russian court on Monday ordered a Russian-American journalist who was detained last week on charges of failing to register as a foreign agent to remain in custody until early December, her employer reported.Alsu Kurmasheva, an editor for the U.S. government-funded Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty's Tatar-Bashkir service, appeared in a closed session in a court in the city of Kazan, the capital of the Tatarstan republic.The radio service said the court ordered her to be held until Dec. 5, rejecting her lawyer's request for preventive measures other than incarceration.She is the second U.S. journalist detained in Russia this year, after Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich was arrested on espionage charges in March. Gershkovich remains in custody.The state-run news website Tatar-Inform said Kurmasheva faces charges of failing to register as a “foreign agent” and was collecting information on Russian military activities. Conviction would carry a sentence of up to five years in prison.Kurmasheva, who lives in Prague, was stopped June 2 at Kazan International Airport after traveling to Russia for a family emergency May 20, according to RFE/RL.Airport officials confiscated her U.S. and Russian passports and she was fined for failing to register her U.S. passport. She was waiting for her passports to be returned when the new charge was filed Wednesday, RFE/RL said.RFE/RL was told by Russian authorities in 2017 to register as a foreign agent, but it has challenged Moscow’s use of foreign agent laws in the European Court of Human Rights. The organization has been fined millions of dollars by Russia.The Committee to Protect Journalists called the charges against Kurmasheva “spurious,” saying her detention “is yet more proof that Russia is determined to stifle independent reporting.”Kurmasheva reported on ethnic minority communities in the Tatarstan and Bashkortostan republics in Russia, including projects to preserve the Tatar language and culture, her employer said.Gershkovich and The Wall Street Journal deny the allegations against him, and the U.S. government has declared him to be wrongfully detained.Russian authorities haven’t detailed any evidence to support the charges. Court proceedings against him are closed because prosecutors say details of the case are classified.。

《今日美国》与萨福克大学合作开展的最新民调显示，高达65%的美国民众预测特朗普将在涉及34项重罪指控的审判中，至少因部分指控被定罪。

B | 该案件围绕其被控企图通过向成人片女星支付封口费并篡改商业记录以干预2016年大选的指控展开。尽管特朗普矢口否认所有指控，指称此为带有政治目的的“猎巫行动”，但公众的看法似乎并不站在他这一边。

调查中，仅23%的受访者，主要是特朗普的忠实支持者，坚信他会获判无罪，同时批评审判过程不公。

在特朗普的核心支持群体中，即他的“让美国再次伟大”(MAGA) 粉丝中，意见出现了分裂：44%的人预测会有至少部分罪名成立，而43%的人则坚信他能全身而退，免于任何罪责。

相比之下，现任总统乔·拜登的支持者们立场鲜明，86%的人认为特朗普会在封口费案中被至少判定一项罪名成立，而持相反意见的仅有7%。

综合来看，民意调查数据描绘了这样的预期分布：15%的人认为特朗普会因所有指控被定罪，50%的人预测部分定罪，而23%的人则认为他能免于任何罪名。

C |

然而，最终裁决权握在听取证词的12位陪审员手中，特朗普本人则亲自出席了曼哈顿的庭审。

特朗普对审判表示反对，指责是拜登及其纽约民主党同僚炮制的“虚假”指控。他还因违反法庭禁令，发表可能影响陪审团的煽动性言论，被法官胡安·梅尔坎裁定蔑视法庭。梅尔坎近期警告，如特朗普再次违规，将面临监禁风险。

对于审判公正性的看法，调查参与者中44%认为不公，39%则认为公正，独立选民在此问题上则呈现37%对37%的均势。

D |

即便是那些预测特朗普将被定罪的人群中，也有一部分担忧这可能会反向助力特朗普的政治生涯，激发其支持者的斗志。一位来自纽约的76岁民主党人斯蒂芬·东布罗夫斯基对《今日美国》表示：“这只会让他的支持者更加团结，他们会把这看作是对特朗普的迫害，进而更加坚定地支持他。

E | 我不认为这会让他失去任何支持。”

本次民调通过电话访问了1000名注册选民，时间为4月30日至5月3日，抽样误差约为正负3.1个百分点。