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Palestinians are 'stateless' but united by longing for peace, say historians_我的网站

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一 | 　　8月25日早盘，两市震荡调整，猪肉概念逆势拉升，截至早间收盘，板块上涨1.71%，涨幅居概念板块前列。个股方面，金字火腿涨近6%，ST龙大涨超5%，西部牧业、大禹生物涨超4%，神农集团涨超3%，顺鑫农业、唐人神、温氏股份、克明食品、得利斯、新五丰、牧原股份、大北农等多股涨超2%。

二 | 　　短期供给压力有所缓解　　消息方面，生猪价格近期已有所反弹。 The Palestinian people make up one of the largest refugee groups in the world, often forced off their land or pushed to flee amid ongoing conflict in the region, according to the United Nations.They are stateless, their identity not defined by specific borders, but rather tied together by a collective longing for a place to call home. Their existence has long been traded and transferred by different ruling powers throughout their history, leaving their fate hanging in the balance.Palestinians are a diverse, multi-religious and multicultural group of roughly 14 million people internationally who trace their roots back to what is now known as the Israeli-Palestinian region of the Middle East.Many of them no longer remain there, spread across the globe. Those who remain in the Palestinian territory of Gaza have been under blockade, with Israel controlling nearly everything that comes in and out of the region, including food, fuel and people, and Egypt controlling Gaza’s southern border.Palestinians have been described as a "young society," with people between 15 and 29 years old comprising 30% of the population, according to the United Nations Population Fund.Amid the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict in the Middle East, Palestinians say they have been "dehumanized" and stereotyped amid the international backlash to Hamas' terrorist actions in Israel.In Gaza, at least 1,799 people have been killed in retaliatory strikes by Israel, with an estimated 7,388 more injured, numbers that are expected to climb. At least 1,300 people have been killed and 3,227 others have been injured in Israel from Hamas attacks.Palestinian historians add that the people's long history of being ignored, attacked and displaced has left many misconceptions about the population unaddressed – something they now hope to remedy."As soon as you identify with them as people – as ordinary human beings – you cannot do to them what's now being done to them right now," said Ussama Makdisi, a history professor at the University of California Berkeley.For example, support for the "Free Palestine" or liberation movement has historically been painted as antisemitic. Palestinian historians say this is another misperception.The fight for liberation, Makdisi said, is about being able to "live with dignity and equality, in a political and social and economic environment where they can thrive like any other people."According to the United Nations, 81% of the population in Gaza lives in poverty, with food insecurity plaguing 63% of Gaza citizens. The unemployment rate is 46.6%, and access to clean water and electricity remains at "crisis" levels of inaccessibility, the U.N. states."Liberation means living with equality, which everybody, I think, once they understand that, most people I would say agree with it,” says Makdisi. “It's exactly what we wish for any people in the world, any people."

'Struggle for liberation'

Despite the difficult circumstances facing Palestinians around the world and in Palestinian territories, they love life, added Yousef Munayyer, a Palestinian-American writer and political analyst."People are looking for ways in the most difficult of moments to celebrate the beauty of life, even under oppression," Munayyer said. "This does not make Palestinians unique. It just makes them as human as everybody else."All of the Palestinian scholars with whom ABC News spoke said the Palestinian passion for fighting to be able to live with dignity has stretched beyond the movement for their own people. Palestinians have been a prominent voice in grassroots activism internationally, including the 2020 anti-racism movement that began in the United States and spread overseas.The young population of Palestinians particularly has moved the needle on their community’s involvement in global social movements, historians say. Nassar believes it’s because younger generations believe their international causes are connected, united in dismantling longstanding systems of oppression.

Palestinian resiliency

The Arabic idea of "sumud," or steadfastness, is a key part of how many Palestinians understand their collective identity, according to Maha Nassar, a history and Islamic studies professor at the University of Arizona. It highlights the near-universal call for liberation, freedom and equality among Palestinians existing in a region under constant conflict – a yearning for peace on Palestinian lands.Sumud can manifest in many ways. It could be as simple as proclaiming one's pride in their Palestinian heritage, or as complicated as grassroots organizing in social movements."Palestinians around the world have taken immense pride and gone to great lengths to ensure that their Palestinian culture and identity is not erased, just because their state does not yet exist," said Nassar.。据博亚和讯数据，8月中旬全国外三元生猪均价从10.30元/公斤最高冲到11.27元/公斤，走出一轮8连涨；最近23个交易日小幅回调，但仍维持在11.11元的近期高位。

　　供应端是支撑当前猪价反弹的核心驱动力。前期能繁母猪存栏量持续去化的传导效应，正逐步在商品猪出栏端显现。截至2026年二季度末，全国能繁母猪存栏量已降至3780万头，距离3750万头的国家合理保有量目标仅一步之遥。

　　与此同时，生猪出栏体重呈现结构性下降。

三 | 受夏季高温天气影响，生猪的日增重速度放缓，增重成本显著高于春秋季节。行业已连续三个季度处于深度亏损状态，养殖端资金压力大幅增加，普遍放弃压栏增重，转而选择降重出栏以减少亏损。此外，政策端对二次育肥的严格管控使得大猪供应明显收缩、标肥价差收窄，有效缓解了短期供给压力。　　产能去化有望加速　　需求端方面，华龙期货指出，立秋后天气转凉，开学季备货和双节预期带动屠宰开工率低位回升，冻品库存周环比延续下滑。不过当前需求增量尚不足以驱动趋势性反转，短期猪价在标肥价差和压栏情绪支撑下仍具韧性，但8月下旬出栏压力释放和二育出栏窗口临近将限制上方空间。　　方正证券认为，从周期角度看，（生猪）产能去化有望进一步加速，拐点仍需等待。养殖端自繁自养亏损幅度明显扩大，行业现金流持续承压，能繁母猪产能去化稳步推进。

四 | 股价角度，悲观预期已较充分，板块具备安全边际。养殖板块经历前期调整，当前估值处于历史低位。　　A股方面，自6月25日创下年内低点至今，申万生猪养殖板块已累计反弹超16%，11只成分股中10只上涨，仅京基智农1股下跌。上涨成分股中，神农集团涨幅最大，超28%；牧原股份次之，涨超22%；温氏股份、新五丰、东瑞股份、巨星农牧、天邦食品等6股均涨超10%。（文章来源：东方财富研究中心）。

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Published on:06:13:29

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